Deterministic scores

Deterministic metrics measure how well a single forecast matches the ground truth. This is in contrast to probabilistic forecasts, which predict a range of plausible outcomes. The interactive graphic below displays a range of deterministic metrics for all the participating models as a function of the forecast lead time.

For a detailed description of the variables, models and metrics, see the FAQ. You can click the model names in the legend to add or remove them from the plot. Note that not all combinations of parameters are available.