Temporal Scores

It can also be informative to look at skill as a function of time, for example to investigate how models performed in particular weather situations. Forecast skill isn’t constant. Some weather situations are easier to predict than others. Periods where all models perform worse than usual are called "forecast busts".

For a detailed description of the variables, models and metrics, see the FAQ. Please click the model names in the legend to add or remove them from the plot. Use the zoom functions to focus on a time period of interest. Note that not all combinations of parameters are available.